Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1279.005082 1449.215411 1636.894849 1859.734824 2117.808908 2408.112141 2760.553597
2025-11-09 1028.526374 1258.503099 1535.317848 1895.438632 2355.020085 2926.525088 3698.210839
2025-11-16 885.199459 1140.800651 1467.397068 1920.131817 2539.040417 3366.540975 4575.363928
2025-11-23 785.083144 1054.271496 1415.038159 1941.543303 2703.170926 3785.042553 5474.821099
2025-11-30 714.138307 993.302995 1383.098349 1977.999741 2882.494403 4238.610485 6489.176676
2025-12-07 632.306516 905.251463 1299.489760 1924.061934 2914.385930 4469.211274 7188.563975
2025-12-14 564.837875 829.491772 1223.380575 1868.543492 2930.940991 4670.349426 7863.208515
2025-12-21 505.907617 759.871959 1148.053438 1803.136627 2919.357016 4818.105952 8462.340567
2025-12-28 483.658885 744.116053 1153.738746 1867.636960 3130.131460 5369.763518 9886.435650
2026-01-04 456.679217 717.849681 1139.236499 1895.332953 3278.502969 5828.774403 11214.373161
2026-01-11 429.641326 688.741205 1116.722200 1905.601597 3394.984969 6242.505606 12524.772271
2026-01-18 405.078197 661.415755 1094.281767 1912.735059 3505.068179 6657.278001 13913.320317
2026-01-25 389.290962 648.224155 1095.920098 1965.937120 3714.637804 7310.756076 15986.370985
2026-02-01 372.329932 631.540844 1089.833498 2003.979258 3899.656215 7944.210325 18159.806060
2026-02-08 355.289344 613.128015 1078.633132 2030.291723 4063.161157 8556.045891 20419.431203
2026-02-15 339.314108 595.231153 1066.563920 2053.109726 4221.628026 9181.342781 22861.350476
2026-02-22 326.634557 582.340614 1062.677376 2091.966136 4420.292010 9933.248120 25832.638384
2026-03-01 303.943404 548.707131 1015.577844 2034.479839 4391.693904 10127.694772 27268.421293
2026-03-08 283.087851 517.088681 969.896465 1975.323922 4351.501033 10286.500360 28638.762511
2026-03-15 262.892585 485.370924 921.584022 1905.651752 4277.566387 10347.126183 29725.449481
2026-03-22 258.092064 483.741709 934.458956 1974.358124 4552.096463 11381.421146 34218.632478
2026-03-29 249.768790 474.388018 930.451712 2003.866661 4732.059094 12189.131033 38196.515099
2026-04-05 240.311716 462.030631 919.058908 2014.808306 4865.462091 12888.952815 42009.955896